Friday, October 08, 2004
After running a red traffic light in London, you can be sure of only one thing - the bloke behind you will follow. The decision made by the guy behind him is less certain.
A Shift in Fiscal Philosophy
D Carlyle recently pointed out that the smart man dies in debt. He has to be smart, of course, to predict death accurately. The argument of whether this is true of not is moot, perhaps when you have children as quarelsome as the current Gen X'ers (moi?) you will change your mind.
Years ago, the status quo for everyone from pirates to the bourgeoisie was to leave a legacy. Perhaps the security that the wealth provided during life, and the notion of immortality and fame (however localised) through inheritance or stashed plunderings. Today soceity is shifting, leaving behind these ideas for debt. I am loathe to believe it is a selfish change, as pirates could hardly be heralded as an altruistic class.
So, predicting death. In the past acturists may have turned to the man with the guile - generally a Priest. Of course, the Scientist has displaced the Priest today, with much the same internal social structurings. Scientists have different cults, followers, leaders and sponsors, whose difference in views and opinions are aired in conferences which no doubt resemble the Middle Eastern Synagogues 2000 years ago. But they still can't predict death.
So we are left with the original problem - unsure of when to start turning black to red. Perhaps the Dutch have part of the answer with 50 year mortgages.
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